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Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips: Madrid Derby Heats Up the Champions League

by Olubi
03.03.2025
in Predictions
Antonio Rüdiger

Photo Credit: Real Madrid Official Website

The first leg of the Round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League will feature a high-stakes clash between historic rivals Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu on Tuesday, March 4, 2025. The Nerve Africa provides you with prediction and some betting tips. 

Match Overview

Real Madrid had to go through a playoff to reach this stage, eliminating Premier League champions Manchester City with a 6-3 aggregate victory over two legs. As defending champions, Carlo Ancelotti’s side will be confident in their ability to overcome their city rivals.

Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid secured an automatic place in the Round of 16, finishing fifth in the group stage with 18 points from eight games. Their top-eight finish ensured direct qualification to this stage of the competition. In their most recent league matches, Real Madrid suffered a 2-1 defeat to Real Betis, while Diego Simeone’s Atlético Madrid edged Athletic Bilbao 1-0 in La Liga.

Real Madrid Recent Form Analysis

Real Madrid have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches across all competitions and drawing once. During this run, they have scored 10 goals and conceded four.

  • Last Five Games: 4 wins, 1 draw
  • Latest Result: Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid Recent Form Analysis

Atlético Madrid are unbeaten in their last five matches, securing two wins and three draws across all competitions. Simeone’s side has been prolific in attack, scoring 14 goals while conceding six in this period.

  • Last Five Games: 2 wins, 3 draws
  • Latest Result: Atlético Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

Head-to-Head (Last Five Games)

  • Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 4-2 Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid 5-3 Atlético Madrid

Our Prediction for Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid

While this is expected to be a highly competitive and intense encounter, home advantage at Santiago Bernabéu could be a decisive factor.

Betting Tips:

  • Double Chance (1X) – 1.26 (1xbet)
  • Both Teams to Score (YES) – 1.32 (1xbet)


Player to Watch: Antonio Rüdiger

The German international with Sierra Leonean descent has been a key figure in Real Madrid’s defense, playing 38 matches this season. His leadership and defensive solidity will be crucial in keeping Atlético Madrid’s attack at bay and securing an early advantage in this tie.

Best Odds and Betting Tips

We’ve identified the following as the best betting options for this match:

  • Double Chance (1X) – 1.26 (1xbet)
  • Both Teams to Score (YES) – 1.32 (1xbet)

With both teams in good form, this clash is set to be a thrilling and hard-fought battle for supremacy in Madrid.

Tags: Antonio Rudiger🌍 Other

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